Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Croatia vs Spain carries real history into this round of the UEFA Nations League.

The two sides meet on 06/10 (Tuesday) at Stadion Poljud, 19:45 (UK time).

Read the Croatia vs Spain prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Croatia vs Spain

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Croatia vs Spain call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Spain the side to beat, with roughly 10% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Croatia Preview

Croatia reach this fixture 3 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Croatia stand:

In this competition

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

• 1 points per game

• 3 scored, at 1 a game

• 12 conceded, at 4 a game

Croatia, season-wide

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Marco Pasalic, 1 goals

• Most assists: Ivan Perišić, 2 assists

Recent results — Croatia

03/10/2026 12:00

Croatia

0 - 7

England

L

29/09/2026 14:45

Spain

4 - 1

Croatia

L

26/09/2026 14:45

Czech Republic

1 - 2

Croatia

W

02/07/2026 19:00

Portugal

2 - 1

Croatia

L

27/06/2026 17:00

Croatia

2 - 1

Ghana

W

Spain: how they are travelling

Spain come in 3 matches into their UEFA Nations League.

Here is what Spain have produced:

In this competition

• 3 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

• 3 points per game

• 10 scored, at 3.33 a game

• 4 conceded, at 1.33 a game

Spain, season-wide

• 3 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Lamine Yamal, 4 goals

• Most assists: Álex Baena, 2 assists

Recent results — Spain

03/10/2026 14:45

Spain

3 - 1

Czech Republic

W

29/09/2026 14:45

Spain

4 - 1

Croatia

W

26/09/2026 14:45

England

2 - 3

Spain

W

19/07/2026 15:00

Spain

1 - 0

Argentina

W

14/07/2026 15:00

France

0 - 2

Spain

W

The head-to-head favours Spain

Spain have generally come out ahead of Croatia in their recent meetings.

From 7 match(es):

• Spain: 4 win(s)

• Croatia: 2 win(s)

• Drawn: 1

That trend is worth factoring into the Croatia vs Spain prediction.

Form comparison Croatia vs Spain

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Croatia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W	1
Home	L	0
Away	L W	1.5

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Goals	5	7	4
Scored	1	0	1.5
Conceded	4	7	2.5
Both Teams to Score	67%	0%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	33%	100%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.21	1.08	1.28
xGA	1.64	2.36	1.28

Away Team

Spain

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W	3
Home	W W	3
Away	W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Goals	4.67	4.5	5
Scored	3.33	3.5	3
Conceded	1.33	1	2
Both Teams to Score	100%	100%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.87	2.06	1.51
xGA	0.94	0.62	1.57

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Croatia vs Spain

• Match: Croatia vs Spain

• Competition: UEFA Nations League

• Date: Tuesday, 06/10/2026

• Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)

• Venue: Stadion Poljud

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Croatia vs Spain that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Croatia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W	1
Home	L	0
Away	L W	1.5

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Goals	5	7	4
Scored	1	0	1.5
Conceded	4	7	2.5
Both Teams to Score	67%	0%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	33%	100%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.21	1.08	1.28
xGA	1.64	2.36	1.28

Away Team

Spain

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W	3
Home	W W	3
Away	W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Goals	4.67	4.5	5
Scored	3.33	3.5	3
Conceded	1.33	1	2
Both Teams to Score	100%	100%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.87	2.06	1.51
xGA	0.94	0.62	1.57

Corners

7.33 / Match

+0% Corners / Match

Spain received +0% more corners than Croatia in the UEFA Nations League

7.34 / Match

England

(1)

Spain

(2)

Czech Republic

(6)

(5)

Czech Republic

(6)

Croatia

(3)

England

Cards

2 / Match

+199% Cards / Match

Croatia received +199% more cards than Spain in the UEFA Nations League

0.67 / Match

England

(1)

Spain

(4)

Czech Republic

(1)

(1)

Czech Republic

(1)

Croatia

(0)

England

Goals Scored

1 / Match

+233%

Spain is +233% better in terms of goals scored

3.33 / Match

England

(0)

Spain

(1)

Czech Republic

(2)

(3)

Czech Republic

(4)

Croatia

(3)

England

Goals Conceded

4 / Match

+67%

Croatia condeded +67% more goals than Spain

1.33 / Match

England

(7)

Spain

(4)

Czech Republic

(1)

(1)

Czech Republic

(1)

Croatia

(2)

England

UEFA Nations League Standings

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Switzerland	3	3	0	0	8	1	7	9	3
2	Slovenia	3	1	1	1	3	2	1	4	1.33
3	Scotland	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4	1.33
4	North Macedonia	3	0	0	3	0	7	-7	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Northern Ireland	3	2	1	0	4	0	4	7	2.33
2	Hungary	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	1.33
3	Ukraine	3	1	1	1	1	3	-2	4	1.33
4	Georgia	3	0	1	2	0	2	-2	1	0.33

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	9	5	4	8	2
2	Ireland	4	1	2	1	6	4	2	5	1.25
3	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5	1.25
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	2	7	-5	2	0.5

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Sweden	3	2	1	0	6	3	3	7	2.33
2	Bosnia-Herzegovina	3	1	2	0	5	3	2	5	1.67
3	Poland	3	1	1	1	7	3	4	4	1.33
4	Romania	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	0

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Finland	3	2	1	0	9	1	8	7	2.33
2	Albania	3	2	0	1	6	2	4	6	2
3	Belarus	3	1	1	1	4	2	2	4	1.33
4	San Marino	3	0	0	3	0	14	-14	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Montenegro	3	3	0	0	7	4	3	9	3
2	Cyprus	3	1	1	1	3	2	1	4	1.33
3	Armenia	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1	3	1
4	Latvia	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3	1	0.33

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Slovakia	3	2	1	0	5	2	3	7	2.33
2	Moldova	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	1.33
3	Faroe Islands	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3	1
4	Kazakhstan	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1	0.33

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Iceland	3	2	1	0	7	1	6	7	2.33
2	Estonia	3	1	2	0	2	1	1	5	1.67
3	Luxembourg	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	1
4	Bulgaria	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1	0.33

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	France	3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	2.33
2	Belgium	3	2	0	1	5	1	4	6	2
3	Italy	3	1	1	1	5	4	1	4	1.33
4	Turkey	3	0	0	3	1	8	-7	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Greece	4	2	2	0	5	3	2	8	2
2	Netherlands	4	2	2	0	7	5	2	8	2
3	Germany	4	1	2	1	3	2	1	5	1.25
4	Serbia	4	0	0	4	3	8	-5	0	0

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Spain	3	3	0	0	10	4	6	9	3
2	England	3	2	0	1	11	3	8	6	2
3	Croatia	3	1	0	2	3	12	-9	3	1
4	Czech Republic	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5	0	0

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Portugal	4	4	0	0	9	4	5	12	3
2	Denmark	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6	1.5
3	Norway	4	1	0	3	6	8	-2	3	0.75
4	Wales	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3	0.75

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Malta	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7	2.33
2	Gibraltar	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
3	Andorra	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	0.33

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Azerbaijan	3	1	2	0	2	1	1	5	1.67
2	Lithuania	3	1	1	1	3	2	1	4	1.33
3	Liechtenstein	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	0.5