Welsh Premier League
Connah's Quay vs Penybont
Sat, 03 Oct 2026 - 14:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay vs Penybont Prediction & Stats - Welsh Premier League 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Connah's Quay vs Penybont carries real history into this round of the Welsh Premier League.
The two sides meet on 03/10 (Saturday) at Deeside College Stadium, 14:30 (UK time).
Read the Connah's Quay vs Penybont prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Connah's Quay vs Penybont
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Connah's Quay vs Penybont call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 0
Last updated on 30-09-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Connah's Quay the side to beat, with roughly 46% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Welsh Premier League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Connah's Quay Preview
Connah's Quay reach this fixture 11 match into their Welsh Premier League. Here is where Connah's Quay stand:
In this competition
8 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
2.27 points per game
27 scored, at 2.45 a game
8 conceded, at 0.73 a game
Connah's Quay, season-wide
8 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Callum West, 6 goals
Most assists: Callum West, 5 assists
Recent results — Connah's Quay
26/09/2026 09:30
18/09/2026 14:45
15/09/2026 14:45
12/09/2026 12:30
04/09/2026 14:45
Penybont: how they are travelling
Penybont come in 11 matches into their Welsh Premier League.
Here is what Penybont have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost
2.45 points per game
22 scored, at 2 a game
9 conceded, at 0.82 a game
Penybont, season-wide
8 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Tom Mehew, 5 goals
Most assists: Ethan Vaughan, 2 assists
Recent results — Penybont
26/09/2026 09:30
18/09/2026 14:45
15/09/2026 14:45
11/09/2026 14:45
05/09/2026 07:30
The head-to-head favours Connah's Quay
Recent meetings have tended to go Connah's Quay's way against Penybont.
From 20 match(es):
Connah's Quay: 10 win(s)
Penybont: 3 win(s)
Drawn: 7
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Connah's Quay vs Penybont prediction.
Form comparison Connah's Quay vs Penybont
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Connah's Quay
Wales - Welsh Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
L
D
|
2.27 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.17 |
| Away |
W
L
W
W
W
|
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Goals | 3.18 | 3 | 3.4 |
| Scored | 2.45 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 0.73 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 33% | 80% |
| Without Conceding | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 1.8 | 1.69 |
|
xGA
|
0.94 | 0.93 | 0.94 |
Away Team
Penybont
Wales - Welsh Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2.45 |
| Home |
W
W
W
D
W
|
2.33 |
| Away |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Goals | 2.82 | 2.33 | 3.4 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Conceded | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.1 | 1.82 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.52 | 0.76 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Connah's Quay to Win the 1st Half
Backing Connah's Quay to win the first half is our top betting recommendation.
They are a team that thrives on fast starts, applying early pressure with an aggressive attacking style. Given their strong home performances and ability to dominate from the start, we expect them to take control early against Penybont and lead at halftime.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Connah's Quay vs Penybont is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 3.62 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
Fixture information - Connah's Quay vs Penybont
Match: Connah's Quay vs Penybont
Competition: Welsh Premier League
Date: Saturday, 03/10/2026
Kick-off: 14:30 (UK time)
Venue: Deeside College Stadium
More Welsh Premier League predictions
Explore the rest of our Welsh Premier League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Connah's Quay vs Penybont that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.2
League: 3.34
Both Teams to Score
47%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
82%
League: 84%
Over 2.5+
74%
League: 61%
Cards
1.83
League: 3.26
Corners
12.03
League: 8.92
Home Team
Connah's Quay
Wales - Welsh Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
L
D
|
2.27 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.17 |
| Away |
W
L
W
W
W
|
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Goals | 3.18 | 3 | 3.4 |
| Scored | 2.45 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 0.73 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 33% | 80% |
| Without Conceding | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 1.8 | 1.69 |
|
xGA
|
0.94 | 0.93 | 0.94 |
Away Team
Penybont
Wales - Welsh Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2.45 |
| Home |
W
W
W
D
W
|
2.33 |
| Away |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Goals | 2.82 | 2.33 | 3.4 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Conceded | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.1 | 1.82 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.52 | 0.76 |
Corners
10.91 / Match
+41% Corners / Match
Connah's Quay received +41% more corners than Penybont in the Welsh Premier League
7.73 / Match
Barry Town United
(5)
Cardiff MU
(7)
Airbus UK
(6)
Colwyn Bay
(8)
Haverfordwest County
(11)
Flint Town United
(5)
Cambrian & Clydach
(1)(3)
Airbus UK
(3)
Ammanford
(1)
Briton Ferry
(11)
Trefelin
(3)
Colwyn Bay
(5)
Cambrian & Clydach
(7)
Flint Town United
Cards
1.27 / Match
+43% Cards / Match
Penybont received +43% more cards than Connah's Quay in the Welsh Premier League
1.82 / Match
Barry Town United
(0)
Cardiff MU
(0)
Airbus UK
(4)
Colwyn Bay
(2)
Haverfordwest County
(0)
Flint Town United
(2)
Cambrian & Clydach
(1)(3)
Airbus UK
(0)
Ammanford
(2)
Briton Ferry
(4)
Trefelin
(2)
Colwyn Bay
(1)
Cambrian & Clydach
(3)
Flint Town United
Goals Scored
2.45 / Match
+23%
Connah's Quay is +23% better in terms of goals scored
2 / Match
Barry Town United
(4)
Cardiff MU
(1)
Airbus UK
(3)
Colwyn Bay
(1)
Haverfordwest County
(1)
Flint Town United
(2)
Cambrian & Clydach
(3)(2)
Airbus UK
(5)
Ammanford
(3)
Briton Ferry
(1)
Trefelin
(1)
Colwyn Bay
(2)
Cambrian & Clydach
(1)
Flint Town United
Goals Conceded
0.73 / Match
+11%
Penybont condeded +11% more goals than Connah's Quay
0.82 / Match
Barry Town United
(1)
Cardiff MU
(0)
Airbus UK
(0)
Colwyn Bay
(2)
Haverfordwest County
(1)
Flint Town United
(1)
Cambrian & Clydach
(0)(1)
Airbus UK
(1)
Ammanford
(2)
Briton Ferry
(0)
Trefelin
(0)
Colwyn Bay
(2)
Cambrian & Clydach
(1)
Flint Town United
Welsh Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
The New Saints
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 31 | 2.82 |
| 2 |
Penybont
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 2.45 |
| 3 |
Connah's Quay
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 2.27 |
| 4 |
Caernarfon Town
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 23 | 2.09 |
| 5 |
Colwyn Bay
|
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 2 |
| 6 |
Barry Town United
|
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 22 | 2 |
| 7 |
Cardiff MU
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 1.64 |
| 8 |
Cambrian & Clydach
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 | 1.64 |
| 9 |
Llandudno
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 1.45 |
| 10 |
Airbus UK
|
11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 1.36 |
| 11 |
Haverfordwest County
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 | 0.91 |
| 12 |
Briton Ferry
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 | 0.82 |
| 13 |
Flint Town United
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 | 0.45 |
| 14 |
Trefelin
|
11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 3 | 0.27 |
| 15 |
Ammanford
|
11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 3 | 0.27 |
| 16 |
Holywell
|
11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 2 | 0.18 |
Odds
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