Serie A
Chapecoense vs Bahia
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 15:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Arena Condá
Chapecoense vs Bahia Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Chapecoense vs Bahia carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 16/08 (Sunday) at Arena Condá, 15:00 (UK time).
Read the Chapecoense vs Bahia prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Chapecoense vs Bahia
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Chapecoense vs Bahia call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Bahia
Last updated on 14-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Bahia the side to beat, with roughly 26% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Chapecoense Preview
Chapecoense reach this fixture 21 match into their Serie A. Here is where Associação Chapecoense de Futebol stand:
In this competition
1 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost
0.48 points per game
20 scored, at 0.95 a game
43 conceded, at 2.05 a game
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, season-wide
2 won, 8 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Walter David Clar Fritz, 3 goals
Most assists: Bruno Pacheco, 3 assists
Recent results — Chapecoense
08/08/2026 19:30
05/08/2026 18:00
02/08/2026 17:30
25/07/2026 17:30
22/07/2026 20:30
Bahia: how they are travelling
Bahia come in 22 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Esquadrão de Aço have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost
1.5 points per game
29 scored, at 1.32 a game
25 conceded, at 1.14 a game
Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide
9 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 7 goals
Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists
Recent results — Esquadrão de Aço
09/08/2026 15:00
29/07/2026 20:30
26/07/2026 15:00
21/07/2026 18:30
17/07/2026 18:30
The head-to-head favours Chapecoense
Recent meetings have tended to go Chapecoense's way against Bahia.
From 13 match(es):
Chapecoense: 5 win(s)
Bahia: 4 win(s)
Drawn: 4
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Chapecoense vs Bahia prediction.
Form comparison Chapecoense vs Bahia
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Chapecoense
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.48 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.7 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.27 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Goals | 3 | 3.7 | 2.36 |
| Scored | 0.95 | 1.3 | 0.64 |
| Conceded | 2.05 | 2.4 | 1.73 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 70% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 30% | 45% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.57 | 0.96 |
|
xGA
|
1.86 | 1.56 | 2.14 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
D
D
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
W
D
D
W
D
|
1.5 |
| Away |
D
D
L
D
L
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.92 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.7 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.18 | 1.96 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Who wins this match between Chapecoense and Bahia? For us, it's too close to call, so a draw is the best betting option for this match.
After taking into account the strengths and weaknesses of both sides, including recent form, it is clear that the most likely outcome is that the match ends with no winner.
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Chapecoense and Bahia have shown a preference for defensive football this season, often avoiding risky attacks.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we see under 2.5 goals as the best value bet for this match.
Fixture information - Chapecoense vs Bahia
Match: Chapecoense vs Bahia
Competition: Serie A
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 15:00 (UK time)
Venue: Arena Condá
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Chape vs Tricolor Baiano that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.15
League: 2.57
Both Teams to Score
65%
League: 56%
Over 1.5+
80%
League: 77%
Over 2.5+
60%
League: 48%
Cards
3.9
League: 4.94
Corners
9.6
League: 10
Home Team
Chapecoense
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.48 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.7 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.27 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Goals | 3 | 3.7 | 2.36 |
| Scored | 0.95 | 1.3 | 0.64 |
| Conceded | 2.05 | 2.4 | 1.73 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 70% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 30% | 45% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.57 | 0.96 |
|
xGA
|
1.86 | 1.56 | 2.14 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
D
D
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
W
D
D
W
D
|
1.5 |
| Away |
D
D
L
D
L
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.92 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.7 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.18 | 1.96 |
Corners
10.33 / Match
+8% Corners / Match
Bahia received +8% more corners than Chapecoense in the Serie A
11.18 / Match
Coritiba
(6)
Santos
(1)
Flamengo
(5)
Bahia
(6)
Palmeiras
(2)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Remo
(3)(4)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Fluminense
(7)
Corinthians
(4)
Atlético MG
(10)
Chapecoense
(10)
Botafogo
(6)
Coritiba
Cards
2.14 / Match
+2% Cards / Match
Bahia received +2% more cards than Chapecoense in the Serie A
2.18 / Match
Coritiba
(1)
Santos
(4)
Flamengo
(1)
Bahia
(0)
Palmeiras
(1)
Cruzeiro
(3)
Remo
(2)(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Fluminense
(2)
Corinthians
(2)
Atlético MG
(2)
Chapecoense
(2)
Botafogo
(3)
Coritiba
Goals Scored
0.95 / Match
+39%
Bahia is +39% better in terms of goals scored
1.32 / Match
Coritiba
(1)
Santos
(2)
Flamengo
(0)
Bahia
(0)
Palmeiras
(0)
Cruzeiro
(1)
Remo
(2)(0)
Vasco da Gama
(0)
Fluminense
(1)
Corinthians
(1)
Atlético MG
(2)
Chapecoense
(2)
Botafogo
(2)
Coritiba
Goals Conceded
2.05 / Match
+44%
Chapecoense condeded +44% more goals than Bahia
1.14 / Match
Coritiba
(2)
Santos
(2)
Flamengo
(4)
Bahia
(2)
Palmeiras
(1)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Remo
(3)(0)
Vasco da Gama
(0)
Fluminense
(1)
Corinthians
(1)
Atlético MG
(0)
Chapecoense
(1)
Botafogo
(3)
Coritiba
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 48 | 2.18 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 42 | 2 |
| 3 |
Athletico-PR
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 40 | 1.82 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 35 | 1.59 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 7 |
Corinthians
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 | 1.45 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 | 1.48 |
| 9 |
Botafogo
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 30 | 1.43 |
| 10 |
Coritiba
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 30 | 1.36 |
| 11 |
Atlético MG
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 29 | 1.38 |
| 12 |
São Paulo
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | 1.24 |
| 13 |
Vitória
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 26 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Grêmio
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 | 1.19 |
| 15 |
Internacional
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | 1.05 |
| 16 |
Mirassol
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 | 1.1 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 18 |
Vasco da Gama
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 22 | 1 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 10 | 0.48 |
Odds
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