Primera División
Cerro Largo vs Progreso
Thu, 12 Nov 2026 - 23:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Cerro Largo vs Progreso carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 12/11 (Thursday) at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, 23:00 (UK time).
Read the Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Cerro Largo vs Progreso
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Cerro Largo vs Progreso call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 12-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Cerro Largo the side to beat, with roughly 46% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Cerro Largo Preview
Cerro Largo reach this fixture 35 match into their Primera División. Here is where Arachán stand:
In this competition
9 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost
1.06 points per game
33 scored, at 0.94 a game
41 conceded, at 1.17 a game
Arachán, season-wide
9 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Tiziano Correa Reyes, 7 goals
Most assists: Alberto Sebastián Assis Silva, 2 assists
Recent results — Cerro Largo
31/10/2026 09:00
25/10/2026 15:00
16/10/2026 18:00
11/10/2026 14:00
04/10/2026 09:00
Progreso: how they are travelling
Progreso come in 35 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Progreso have produced:
In this competition
10 won, 5 drawn, 20 lost
1 points per game
31 scored, at 0.89 a game
49 conceded, at 1.4 a game
Progreso, season-wide
10 won, 5 drawn, 20 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 11 goals
Most assists: Facundo de León Abate, 2 assists
Recent results — Progreso
01/11/2026 08:00
25/10/2026 09:00
17/10/2026 09:00
10/10/2026 17:30
03/10/2026 10:00
The head-to-head favours Cerro Largo
Recent meetings have tended to go Cerro Largo's way against Progreso.
From 19 match(es):
Cerro Largo: 12 win(s)
Progreso: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 5
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction.
Form comparison Cerro Largo vs Progreso
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Cerro Largo
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
L
L
|
1.06 |
| Home |
W
L
L
D
D
|
1.24 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.89 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Goals | 2.11 | 2.12 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.18 | 0.72 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.94 | 1.39 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 47% | 39% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 29% | 44% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.23 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
D
|
1 |
| Home |
L
L
W
W
L
|
1 |
| Away |
W
D
L
W
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.47 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.89 | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 41% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 41% | 39% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.2 | 1.25 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.52 | 1.52 | 1.53 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Cerro Largo to Win
It’s hard to see any outcome other than a Cerro Largo victory, making this our best betting tip.
They have been impressive throughout the season. Expect Cerro Largo to live up to expectations in this matchup.
Fixture information - Cerro Largo vs Progreso
Match: Cerro Largo vs Progreso
Competition: Primera División
Date: Thursday, 12/11/2026
Kick-off: 23:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Cerro Largo vs Progreso that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.2
League: 2.38
Both Teams to Score
43%
League: 51%
Over 1.5+
68%
League: 68%
Over 2.5+
36%
League: 44%
Cards
5.92
League: 5.93
Corners
7.75
League: 8.98
Home Team
Cerro Largo
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
L
L
|
1.06 |
| Home |
W
L
L
D
D
|
1.24 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.89 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Goals | 2.11 | 2.12 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.18 | 0.72 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.94 | 1.39 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 47% | 39% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 29% | 44% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.23 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
D
|
1 |
| Home |
L
L
W
W
L
|
1 |
| Away |
W
D
L
W
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.47 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.89 | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 41% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 41% | 39% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.2 | 1.25 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.52 | 1.52 | 1.53 |
Corners
8.46 / Match
+4% Corners / Match
Progreso received +4% more corners than Cerro Largo in the Primera División
8.83 / Match
Racing
(3)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(6)
Albion
(5)
Danubio
(3)
Nacional
(6)
Deportivo Maldonado
(6)(5)
Defensor Sporting
(4)
Wanderers
(4)
Juventud
(2)
Peñarol
(4)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(5)
Racing
(5)
Boston River
Cards
2.89 / Match
+5% Cards / Match
Progreso received +5% more cards than Cerro Largo in the Primera División
3.03 / Match
Racing
(3)
Boston River
(1)
Cerro
(2)
Albion
(4)
Danubio
(4)
Nacional
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(3)(3)
Defensor Sporting
(2)
Wanderers
(3)
Juventud
(0)
Peñarol
(4)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(2)
Racing
(3)
Boston River
Goals Scored
0.94 / Match
+6%
Cerro Largo is +6% better in terms of goals scored
0.89 / Match
Racing
(1)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(1)
Albion
(0)
Danubio
(1)
Nacional
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)(0)
Defensor Sporting
(1)
Wanderers
(2)
Juventud
(1)
Peñarol
(2)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(2)
Racing
(2)
Boston River
Goals Conceded
1.17 / Match
+16%
Progreso condeded +16% more goals than Cerro Largo
1.4 / Match
Racing
(3)
Boston River
(0)
Cerro
(1)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(2)
Nacional
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(2)(2)
Defensor Sporting
(0)
Wanderers
(0)
Juventud
(1)
Peñarol
(3)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(1)
Racing
(1)
Boston River
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
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