UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Italy
Sun, 15 Nov 2026 - 19:45 (UK Time)
Stadium: Stade Roi Baudouin
Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Belgium vs Italy carries real history into this round of the UEFA Nations League.
The two sides meet on 15/11 (Sunday) at Stade Roi Baudouin, 19:45 (UK time).
Read the Belgium vs Italy prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Belgium vs Italy
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Belgium vs Italy call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Belgium or Draw
Last updated on 13-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Belgium the side to beat, with roughly 43% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Belgium Preview
Belgium reach this fixture 4 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Diables Rouges stand:
In this competition
2 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
1.5 points per game
6 scored, at 1.5 a game
5 conceded, at 1.25 a game
Diables Rouges, season-wide
2 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Kevin De Bruyne, 2 goals
Most assists: Charles De Ketelaere, 2 assists
Recent results — Belgium
12/11/2026 12:00
05/10/2026 14:45
02/10/2026 14:45
28/09/2026 14:45
25/09/2026 14:45
Italy: how they are travelling
Italy come in 4 matches into their UEFA Nations League.
Here is what Italy have produced:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
1.75 points per game
8 scored, at 2 a game
5 conceded, at 1.25 a game
Italy, season-wide
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Francesco Pio Esposito, 2 goals
Most assists: Nicolò Barella, 1 assists
Recent results — Italy
12/11/2026 14:45
05/10/2026 14:45
02/10/2026 14:45
28/09/2026 14:45
25/09/2026 14:45
The head-to-head favours Italy
Italy have generally come out ahead of Diables Rouges in their recent meetings.
From 7 match(es):
Italy: 4 win(s)
Belgium: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 1
That trend is worth factoring into the Belgium vs Italy prediction.
Form comparison Belgium vs Italy
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Belgium
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Home |
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Away |
W
L
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.8 | 2 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.53 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
2.22 | 2.28 | 2.18 |
Away Team
Italy
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
D
W
|
2 |
| Home |
L
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.4 | 3.33 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 2.2 | 2 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.33 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.73 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.9 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Belgium vs Italy
Match: Belgium vs Italy
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Date: Sunday, 15/11/2026
Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)
Venue: Stade Roi Baudouin
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Rode Duivels vs Italy that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.1
League: 2.47
Both Teams to Score
60%
League: 47%
Over 1.5+
90%
League: 74%
Over 2.5+
60%
League: 50%
Cards
5
League: 4.32
Corners
6.8
League: 8.71
Home Team
Belgium
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Home |
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Away |
W
L
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.8 | 2 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.53 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
2.22 | 2.28 | 2.18 |
Away Team
Italy
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
D
W
|
2 |
| Home |
L
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.4 | 3.33 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 2.2 | 2 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.33 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.73 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.9 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
Corners
8.6 / Match
+14% Corners / Match
Italy received +14% more corners than Belgium in the UEFA Nations League
9.8 / Match
Turkey
(3)
France
(2)
Turkey
(2)
France
(2)
Italy
(8)(4)
France
(3)
Turkey
(4)
France
(2)
Turkey
(4)
Belgium
Cards
2.8 / Match
+27% Cards / Match
Belgium received +27% more cards than Italy in the UEFA Nations League
2.2 / Match
Turkey
(0)
France
(2)
Turkey
(4)
France
(3)
Italy
(5)(2)
France
(2)
Turkey
(4)
France
(0)
Turkey
(3)
Belgium
Goals Scored
1.6 / Match
+38%
Italy is +38% better in terms of goals scored
2.2 / Match
Turkey
(2)
France
(1)
Turkey
(3)
France
(0)
Italy
(2)(3)
France
(3)
Turkey
(1)
France
(4)
Turkey
(0)
Belgium
Goals Conceded
1.2 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
1.2 / Match
Turkey
(1)
France
(4)
Turkey
(0)
France
(1)
Italy
(0)(1)
France
(1)
Turkey
(1)
France
(1)
Turkey
(2)
Belgium
UEFA Nations League Standings
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 2.4 |
| 2 |
Belarus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 3 |
Finland
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| 2 |
Cyprus
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.2 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slovakia
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Faroe Islands
|
4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 |
Moldova
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Kazakhstan
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Bulgaria
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Luxembourg
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Slovenia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
North Macedonia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Hungary
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Ukraine
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Georgia
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Austria
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Ireland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 3 |
Kosovo
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Israel
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Italy
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 2 |
France
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 3 |
Belgium
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| 4 |
Turkey
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Greece
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 3 |
| 2 |
England
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 2.4 |
| 3 |
Croatia
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3 | 0.6 |
| 4 |
Czech Republic
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugal
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Denmark
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Norway
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 4 |
Wales
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malta
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Gibraltar
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Andorra
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Odds
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