Serie A

Bahia vs São Paulo

Thu, 29 Oct 2026 - 00:30 (UK Time)

Stadium: Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs São Paulo Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026

Predictions

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Bahia vs São Paulo carries real history into this round of the Serie A.

The two sides meet on 29/10 (Thursday) at Arena Fonte Nova, 00:30 (UK time).

Read the Bahia vs São Paulo prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Bahia vs São Paulo

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Bahia vs São Paulo call we are most confident in:

Eagle Predict Prediction

BTTS - Yes

Last updated on 27-10-2026.

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Bahia the side to beat, with roughly 46% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Bahia Preview

Bahia reach this fixture 32 match into their Serie A. Here is where Esquadrão de Aço stand:

In this competition

13 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost
1.56 points per game
45 scored, at 1.41 a game
40 conceded, at 1.25 a game

Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide

14 won, 11 drawn, 11 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 11 goals
Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists

Recent results — Bahia

24/10/2026 20:00

Santos

1 - 1

Bahia

18/10/2026 17:30

Bahia

0 - 3

Flamengo

11/10/2026 18:30

Bahia

1 - 0

Mirassol

08/10/2026 20:30

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

20/09/2026 18:30

Athletico-PR

2 - 1

Bahia

São Paulo: how they are travelling

São Paulo come in 32 matches into their Serie A.

Here is what São Paulo Futebol Clube have produced:

In this competition

12 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost
1.34 points per game
37 scored, at 1.16 a game
36 conceded, at 1.13 a game

São Paulo Futebol Clube, season-wide

17 won, 12 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Jonathan Calleri, 10 goals
Most assists: Wendell Nascimento Borges, 3 assists

Recent results — São Paulo Futebol Clube

24/10/2026 15:30

Mirassol

1 - 1

São Paulo

17/10/2026 20:00

São Paulo

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

10/10/2026 20:00

São Paulo

2 - 1

Vitória

07/10/2026 20:30

Cruzeiro

2 - 0

São Paulo

02/10/2026 19:00

São Paulo

1 - 2

Santos

The head-to-head favours São Paulo

São Paulo have generally come out ahead of Esquadrão de Aço in their recent meetings.

From 23 match(es):

São Paulo: 10 win(s)
Bahia: 6 win(s)
Drawn: 7

That trend is worth factoring into the Bahia vs São Paulo prediction.

Form comparison Bahia vs São Paulo

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L L	1.56
Home	L W W W D	1.69
Away	D L L W W	1.44

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	44%	38%
Goals	2.66	2.5	2.81
Scored	1.41	1.44	1.38
Conceded	1.25	1.06	1.44
Both Teams to Score	63%	63%	63%
Without Conceding	28%	31%	25%
Failed To Score	16%	13%	19%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.55	1.67	1.44
xGA	1.65	1.3	2

Away Team

São Paulo

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.34
Home	D W W L W	2.06
Away	D L L L L	0.63

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	63%	13%
Goals	2.28	2.38	2.19
Scored	1.16	1.56	0.75
Conceded	1.13	0.81	1.44
Both Teams to Score	56%	56%	56%
Without Conceding	22%	38%	6%
Failed To Score	22%	6%	38%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.48	1.64	1.32
xGA	1.32	1.14	1.5

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals

If you’re expecting lots of goals in Bahia vs São Paulo, you might want to reconsider.

Neither side has shown enough attacking quality to upset their opponent’s defense consistently, which is why we predict this match to stay under 2.5 goals.

👉 Our prediction is: Draw

Who wins this match between Bahia and São Paulo? For us, it's too close to call, so a draw is the best betting option for this match.

After taking into account the strengths and weaknesses of both sides, including recent form, it is clear that the most likely outcome is that the match ends with no winner.

Fixture information - Bahia vs São Paulo

Match: Bahia vs São Paulo
Competition: Serie A
Date: Thursday, 29/10/2026
Kick-off: 00:30 (UK time)
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova

More Serie A predictions

Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

Stats

The statistics for Tricolor Baiano vs Sao Paulo FC that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Goal Average

2.35

League: 2.66

Both Teams to Score

60%

League: 59%

Over 1.5+

82%

League: 78%

Over 2.5+

41%

League: 51%

Cards

4.82

League: 4.92

Corners

11.82

League: 10.52

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L L	1.56
Home	L W W W D	1.69
Away	D L L W W	1.44

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	44%	38%
Goals	2.66	2.5	2.81
Scored	1.41	1.44	1.38
Conceded	1.25	1.06	1.44
Both Teams to Score	63%	63%	63%
Without Conceding	28%	31%	25%
Failed To Score	16%	13%	19%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.55	1.67	1.44
xGA	1.65	1.3	2

Away Team

São Paulo

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.34
Home	D W W L W	2.06
Away	D L L L L	0.63

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	63%	13%
Goals	2.28	2.38	2.19
Scored	1.16	1.56	0.75
Conceded	1.13	0.81	1.44
Both Teams to Score	56%	56%	56%
Without Conceding	22%	38%	6%
Failed To Score	22%	6%	38%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.48	1.64	1.32
xGA	1.32	1.14	1.5

Corners

11.62 / Match

+2% Corners / Match

Bahia received +2% more corners than São Paulo in the Serie A

11.44 / Match

Santos

(8)

Flamengo

(4)

Mirassol

(6)

Palmeiras

(3)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(7)

RB Bragantino

(8)

(7)

Mirassol

(3)

Vasco da Gama

(6)

Vitória

(8)

Cruzeiro

(14)

Santos

(3)

Internacional

(6)

Palmeiras

Cards

2.28 / Match

+4% Cards / Match

Bahia received +4% more cards than São Paulo in the Serie A

2.19 / Match

Santos

(2)

Flamengo

(4)

Mirassol

(1)

Palmeiras

(2)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Mirassol

(2)

Vasco da Gama

(5)

Vitória

(1)

Cruzeiro

(1)

Santos

(1)

Internacional

(1)

Palmeiras

Goals Scored

1.41 / Match

+22%

Bahia is +22% better in terms of goals scored

1.16 / Match

Santos

(1)

Flamengo

(0)

Mirassol

(1)

Palmeiras

(0)

Athletico-PR

(1)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(3)

(1)

Mirassol

(1)

Vasco da Gama

(2)

Vitória

(0)

Cruzeiro

(1)

Santos

(1)

Internacional

(0)

Palmeiras

Goals Conceded

1.25 / Match

+10%

Bahia condeded +10% more goals than São Paulo

1.13 / Match

Santos

(1)

Flamengo

(3)

Mirassol

(0)

Palmeiras

(1)

Athletico-PR

(2)

Remo

(1)

RB Bragantino

(2)

(1)

Mirassol

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(1)

Vitória

(2)

Cruzeiro

(2)

Santos

(0)

Internacional

(2)

Palmeiras

Serie A Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56	22	34	69	2.16
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	36	67	2.16
3	Athletico-PR	32	15	9	8	50	38	12	54	1.69
4	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51	46	5	54	1.69
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	9	51	1.59
6	Atlético MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	7	50	1.61
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45	40	5	50	1.56
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49	47	2	46	1.44
9	São Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	1	43	1.34
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39	38	1	41	1.28
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44	51	-7	39	1.22
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39	1.26
13	Vasco da Gama	31	10	8	13	39	45	-6	38	1.23
14	Vitória	32	10	8	14	35	46	-11	38	1.19
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37	45	-8	37	1.16
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36	40	-4	35	1.09
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34	42	-8	33	1.03
18	Grêmio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	31	1
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34	50	-16	26	0.81
20	Chapecoense	31	4	9	18	32	63	-31	21	0.68

Odds

Oloruntoba Yusuf

Author

Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.