UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 - 14:00 (UK Time)
Stadium:
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27
Predictions
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania is part of the UEFA Nations League schedule for Sunday (04/10).
The fixture is staged at Bakcell Arena, 14:00 (UK time).
Below is our Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction, built before you place a bet.
Our verdict on Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
BTTS - Yes
Last updated on 02-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Azerbaijan the side to beat, with roughly 41% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Azerbaijan Preview
Azerbaijan reach this fixture 2 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Azerbaijan stand:
In this competition
0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
1 points per game
1 scored, at 0.5 a game
1 conceded, at 0.5 a game
Azerbaijan, season-wide
0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Mahir Emreli, 1 goals
Most assists: Tellur Mütəllimov, 1 assists
Recent results — Azerbaijan
01/10/2026 12:00
27/09/2026 09:00
23/09/2026 12:00
09/06/2026 14:00
05/06/2026 14:00
Lithuania: how they are travelling
Lithuania come in 2 matches into their UEFA Nations League.
Here is what Lithuania have produced:
In this competition
1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
2 points per game
3 scored, at 1.5 a game
1 conceded, at 0.5 a game
Lithuania, season-wide
1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Lukas Michelbrink, 1 goals
Most assists: Armandas Kučys, 1 assists
Recent results — Lithuania
30/09/2026 12:00
27/09/2026 09:00
24/09/2026 14:45
29/03/2026 09:00
26/03/2026 11:00
The head-to-head
A short sample to go on — 2 recent meeting(s) between the two:
Azerbaijan: 0 win(s)
Lithuania: 0 win(s)
Drawn: 2
With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.
Form comparison Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Azerbaijan
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
|
1 |
| Home |
D
|
1 |
| Away |
D
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Scored | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.75 | 2.43 | 1.07 |
|
xGA
|
0.69 | 0.33 | 1.04 |
Away Team
Lithuania
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
|
2 |
| Home |
D
|
1 |
| Away |
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.04 | 2.06 |
|
xGA
|
0.68 | 1.07 | 0.29 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 3.39 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
If you’re expecting lots of goals in Azerbaijan vs Lithuania, you might want to reconsider.
Neither side has shown enough attacking quality to upset their opponent’s defense consistently, which is why we predict this match to stay under 2.5 goals.
Fixture information - Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Match: Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026
Kick-off: 14:00 (UK time)
Venue: Bakcell Arena
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
1.5
League: 2.43
Both Teams to Score
50%
League: 47%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 72%
Over 2.5+
0%
League: 47%
Cards
3.5
League: 4.07
Corners
8.5
League: 8.17
Home Team
Azerbaijan
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
|
1 |
| Home |
D
|
1 |
| Away |
D
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Scored | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.75 | 2.43 | 1.07 |
|
xGA
|
0.69 | 0.33 | 1.04 |
Away Team
Lithuania
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
|
2 |
| Home |
D
|
1 |
| Away |
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.04 | 2.06 |
|
xGA
|
0.68 | 1.07 | 0.29 |
Corners
4.5 / Match
+11% Corners / Match
Lithuania received +11% more corners than Azerbaijan in the UEFA Nations League
5 / Match
Liechtenstein
(7)
Lithuania
(2)(0)
Azerbaijan
(8)
Liechtenstein
Cards
2.5 / Match
+150% Cards / Match
Azerbaijan received +150% more cards than Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League
1 / Match
Liechtenstein
(2)
Lithuania
(3)(1)
Azerbaijan
(1)
Liechtenstein
Goals Scored
0.5 / Match
+200%
Lithuania is +200% better in terms of goals scored
1.5 / Match
Liechtenstein
(0)
Lithuania
(1)(1)
Azerbaijan
(2)
Liechtenstein
Goals Conceded
0.5 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
0.5 / Match
Liechtenstein
(0)
Lithuania
(1)(1)
Azerbaijan
(0)
Liechtenstein
UEFA Nations League Standings
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Finland
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 |
Belarus
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Armenia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Cyprus
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slovakia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Faroe Islands
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Kazakhstan
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
Moldova
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 |
Luxembourg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Estonia
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 |
Bulgaria
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Belgium
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Italy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 4 |
Turkey
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Greece
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
England
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Croatia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.5 |
| 4 |
Czech Republic
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugal
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
Norway
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 |
Denmark
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Wales
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 1 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Slovenia
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
North Macedonia
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 |
Ukraine
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 |
Georgia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
Hungary
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Austria
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Ireland
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Kosovo
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Israel
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malta
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 |
Gibraltar
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Andorra
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lithuania
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 |
Azerbaijan
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Odds
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