Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 00:05 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction & Stats - Categoria Primera A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe carries real history into this round of the Categoria Primera A.
The two sides meet on 16/08 (Sunday) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, 00:05 (UK time).
Read the Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 13-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Atlético Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 62% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Categoria Primera A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Atlético Nacional Preview
Atlético Nacional reach this fixture 27 match into their Categoria Primera A. Here is where Atlético Nacional stand:
In this competition
19 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost
2.15 points per game
52 scored, at 1.93 a game
22 conceded, at 0.81 a game
Atlético Nacional, season-wide
19 won, 1 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Alfredo Morelos, 12 goals
Most assists: Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, 6 assists
Recent results — Atlético Nacional
09/08/2026 21:15
02/08/2026 16:45
28/07/2026 21:30
21/07/2026 17:00
08/06/2026 18:00
Santa Fe: how they are travelling
Santa Fe come in 26 matches into their Categoria Primera A.
Here is what Club Independiente Santa Fe S.A. have produced:
In this competition
9 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost
1.5 points per game
40 scored, at 1.54 a game
28 conceded, at 1.08 a game
Club Independiente Santa Fe S.A., season-wide
13 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Hugo Rodallega Martínez, 13 goals
Most assists: Omar Andrés Fernández Frasica, 8 assists
Recent results — Club Independiente Santa Fe S.A.
08/08/2026 15:00
05/08/2026 20:00
02/08/2026 21:00
30/07/2026 20:30
26/07/2026 17:05
The head-to-head favours Atlético Nacional
Recent meetings have tended to go Atlético Nacional's way against Santa Fe.
From 44 match(es):
Atlético Nacional: 21 win(s)
Santa Fe: 10 win(s)
Drawn: 13
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction.
Form comparison Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
L
W
|
2.15 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2.83 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 92% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.74 | 3.17 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.93 | 2.75 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.42 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 37% | 42% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 58% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 8% | 47% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.73 | 2.15 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.12 | 1.44 |
Away Team
Santa Fe
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
L
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
L
W
D
D
W
|
1.77 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 46% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.62 | 3 | 2.23 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 2 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 1.08 | 1 | 1.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | 73% | 69% | 77% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 15% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.44 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.17 | 1.61 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Atlético Nacional will have the home advantage in this match, and with the quality of their players to the strength of their performances, they will have the upper hand. But even with all that said, our betting tip is to go for a draw in Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe.
We just see some flaws that Santa Fe can exploit in order to hold the home side to a draw. And with odds of 3.9, the potential payout for a draw is well worth a shot.
👉 Prediction: Double Chance - X2
Our analysis suggests there is little separating Atlético Nacional and Santa Fe in terms of overall quality. However, with the security of the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to land the bet, we see great value in backing Santa Fe.
With odds of 2.39, there’s solid potential for an upset, especially considering Atlético Nacional’s recent struggles and Santa Fe’s form.
Fixture information - Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe
Match: Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe
Competition: Categoria Primera A
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 00:05 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
More Categoria Primera A predictions
Explore the rest of our Categoria Primera A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Los Cardenales that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.68
League: 2.54
Both Teams to Score
55%
League: 52%
Over 1.5+
78%
League: 75%
Over 2.5+
57%
League: 47%
Cards
5.47
League: 5.76
Corners
9.68
League: 8.94
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
L
W
|
2.15 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2.83 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 92% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.74 | 3.17 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.93 | 2.75 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.42 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 37% | 42% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 58% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 8% | 47% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.73 | 2.15 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.12 | 1.44 |
Away Team
Santa Fe
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
L
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
L
W
D
D
W
|
1.77 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 46% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.62 | 3 | 2.23 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 2 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 1.08 | 1 | 1.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | 73% | 69% | 77% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 15% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.44 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.17 | 1.61 |
Corners
9.56 / Match
+18% Corners / Match
Atlético Nacional received +18% more corners than Santa Fe in the Categoria Primera A
8.11 / Match
América de Cali
(13)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(4)
Junior
(13)
Junior
(3)
Deportes Tolima
(7)
Deportes Tolima
(2)
La Equidad
(9)(2)
Boyacá Chicó
(3)
Once Caldas
(1)
Rionegro Águilas
(3)
Junior
(6)
Junior
(2)
América de Cali
(2)
América de Cali
Cards
2.93 / Match
+15% Cards / Match
Atlético Nacional received +15% more cards than Santa Fe in the Categoria Primera A
2.54 / Match
América de Cali
(4)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(0)
Junior
(3)
Junior
(5)
Deportes Tolima
(2)
Deportes Tolima
(1)
La Equidad
(0)(1)
Boyacá Chicó
(2)
Once Caldas
(2)
Rionegro Águilas
(3)
Junior
(2)
Junior
(3)
América de Cali
(1)
América de Cali
Goals Scored
1.93 / Match
+25%
Atlético Nacional is +25% better in terms of goals scored
1.54 / Match
América de Cali
(0)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(3)
Junior
(1)
Junior
(0)
Deportes Tolima
(3)
Deportes Tolima
(1)
La Equidad
(7)(2)
Boyacá Chicó
(2)
Once Caldas
(1)
Rionegro Águilas
(0)
Junior
(1)
Junior
(4)
América de Cali
(1)
América de Cali
Goals Conceded
0.81 / Match
+25%
Santa Fe condeded +25% more goals than Atlético Nacional
1.08 / Match
América de Cali
(1)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(0)
Junior
(0)
Junior
(3)
Deportes Tolima
(1)
Deportes Tolima
(0)
La Equidad
(1)(0)
Boyacá Chicó
(2)
Once Caldas
(2)
Rionegro Águilas
(0)
Junior
(1)
Junior
(0)
América de Cali
(1)
América de Cali
Categoria Primera A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Nacional
|
27 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 22 | 30 | 58 | 2.15 |
| 2 |
América de Cali
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 46 | 1.84 |
| 3 |
Deportes Tolima
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 46 | 1.7 |
| 4 |
Junior
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 44 | 1.63 |
| 5 |
Santa Fe
|
26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 6 |
Once Caldas
|
25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | 1.56 |
| 7 |
Independiente Medellín
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | 1.59 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 | 1.36 |
| 9 |
Deportivo Cali
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 10 |
Millonarios
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 32 | 1.45 |
| 11 |
Rionegro Águilas
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 | 1.52 |
| 12 |
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 31 | 1.35 |
| 13 |
La Equidad
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 31 | 1.29 |
| 14 |
Llaneros
|
22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 29 | 1.32 |
| 15 |
Fortaleza CEIF
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 27 | 1.17 |
| 16 |
Jaguares de Córdoba
|
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | 0.83 |
| 17 |
Alianza Petrolera
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 18 | 0.82 |
| 18 |
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 17 | 0.77 |
| 19 |
Boyacá Chicó
|
21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 17 | 0.81 |
| 20 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 11 | 0.52 |
Odds
Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.
Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
Millonarios
Atlético Bucaramanga
Llaneros
Fortaleza CEIF
Alianza Petrolera
Cúcuta Deportivo
Deportivo Pereira