Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 - 23:10 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín Prediction & Stats - Categoria Primera A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín carries real history into this round of the Categoria Primera A.
The two sides meet on 25/10 (Sunday) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, 23:10 (UK time).
Read the Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Independiente Medellín
Last updated on 23-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Atlético Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 53% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Categoria Primera A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Atlético Nacional Preview
Atlético Nacional reach this fixture 38 match into their Categoria Primera A. Here is where Atlético Nacional stand:
In this competition
26 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost
2.13 points per game
74 scored, at 1.95 a game
33 conceded, at 0.87 a game
Atlético Nacional, season-wide
26 won, 3 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Alfredo Morelos, 14 goals
Most assists: Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, 7 assists
Recent results — Atlético Nacional
22/10/2026 21:00
20/10/2026 19:30
17/10/2026 16:00
14/10/2026 21:30
08/10/2026 19:05
Independiente Medellín: how they are travelling
Independiente Medellín come in 33 matches into their Categoria Primera A.
Here is what El Equipo del Pueblo S.A. have produced:
In this competition
14 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost
1.48 points per game
47 scored, at 1.42 a game
43 conceded, at 1.3 a game
El Equipo del Pueblo S.A., season-wide
18 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: John Edwin Montaño Preciado, 7 goals
Most assists: Leyser Chaverra Rentería, 4 assists
Recent results — El Equipo del Pueblo S.A.
17/10/2026 21:10
14/10/2026 21:30
11/10/2026 21:15
05/10/2026 20:00
29/09/2026 21:05
The head-to-head favours Atlético Nacional
Recent meetings have tended to go Atlético Nacional's way against Independiente Medellín.
From 57 match(es):
Atlético Nacional: 23 win(s)
Independiente Medellín: 13 win(s)
Drawn: 21
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín prediction.
Form comparison Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
D
W
|
2.13 |
| Home |
W
D
W
D
W
|
2.65 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 68% | 82% | 57% |
| Goals | 2.82 | 2.88 | 2.76 |
| Scored | 1.95 | 2.41 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 0.47 | 1.19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 47% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 53% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 12% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 1.98 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.08 | 1.3 |
Away Team
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
D
|
1.48 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
W
|
1.5 |
| Away |
W
L
D
L
W
|
1.47 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 2.67 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.47 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 61% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.72 | 1.32 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.99 | 1.34 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Match: Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Competition: Categoria Primera A
Date: Sunday, 25/10/2026
Kick-off: 23:10 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
More Categoria Primera A predictions
Explore the rest of our Categoria Primera A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Poderoso de la Montaña that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.78
League: 2.54
Both Teams to Score
54%
League: 55%
Over 1.5+
77%
League: 75%
Over 2.5+
62%
League: 48%
Cards
5.91
League: 5.93
Corners
10.57
League: 9
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
D
W
|
2.13 |
| Home |
W
D
W
D
W
|
2.65 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 68% | 82% | 57% |
| Goals | 2.82 | 2.88 | 2.76 |
| Scored | 1.95 | 2.41 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 0.47 | 1.19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 47% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 53% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 12% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 1.98 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.08 | 1.3 |
Away Team
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
D
|
1.48 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
W
|
1.5 |
| Away |
W
L
D
L
W
|
1.47 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 2.67 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.47 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 61% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.72 | 1.32 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.99 | 1.34 |
Corners
9.66 / Match
+8% Corners / Match
Atlético Nacional received +8% more corners than Independiente Medellín in the Categoria Primera A
8.91 / Match
Deportivo Pasto
(3)
Cúcuta Deportivo
(9)
Boyacá Chicó
(5)
Deportes Tolima
(4)
Junior
(7)
Millonarios
(3)
Llaneros
(9)(2)
Once Caldas
(7)
América de Cali
(7)
Santa Fe
(2)
Millonarios
(6)
Junior
(7)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(8)
Atlético Bucaramanga
Cards
2.82 / Match
+10% Cards / Match
Independiente Medellín received +10% more cards than Atlético Nacional in the Categoria Primera A
3.09 / Match
Deportivo Pasto
(3)
Cúcuta Deportivo
(1)
Boyacá Chicó
(3)
Deportes Tolima
(0)
Junior
(5)
Millonarios
(3)
Llaneros
(2)(3)
Once Caldas
(3)
América de Cali
(5)
Santa Fe
(2)
Millonarios
(3)
Junior
(2)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(3)
Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals Scored
1.95 / Match
+37%
Atlético Nacional is +37% better in terms of goals scored
1.42 / Match
Deportivo Pasto
(3)
Cúcuta Deportivo
(0)
Boyacá Chicó
(4)
Deportes Tolima
(0)
Junior
(3)
Millonarios
(1)
Llaneros
(0)(0)
Once Caldas
(2)
América de Cali
(0)
Santa Fe
(2)
Millonarios
(0)
Junior
(2)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(2)
Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals Conceded
0.87 / Match
+33%
Independiente Medellín condeded +33% more goals than Atlético Nacional
1.3 / Match
Deportivo Pasto
(0)
Cúcuta Deportivo
(1)
Boyacá Chicó
(1)
Deportes Tolima
(0)
Junior
(1)
Millonarios
(1)
Llaneros
(2)(2)
Once Caldas
(1)
América de Cali
(1)
Santa Fe
(2)
Millonarios
(2)
Junior
(1)
Jaguares de Córdoba
(2)
Atlético Bucaramanga
Categoria Primera A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Nacional
|
39 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 77 | 33 | 44 | 84 | 2.15 |
| 2 |
América de Cali
|
35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 62 | 1.77 |
| 3 |
Santa Fe
|
37 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 60 | 1.62 |
| 4 |
Deportes Tolima
|
38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 57 | 1.5 |
| 5 |
Deportivo Cali
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 56 | 1.65 |
| 6 |
Junior
|
39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 56 | 1.44 |
| 7 |
Once Caldas
|
36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 54 | 1.5 |
| 8 |
Millonarios
|
35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 52 | 1.49 |
| 9 |
Independiente Medellín
|
33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 49 | 1.48 |
| 10 |
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
32 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 | 1.5 |
| 11 |
Rionegro Águilas
|
33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 | 1.36 |
| 12 |
La Equidad
|
36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 45 | 1.25 |
| 13 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 43 | 1.23 |
| 14 |
Llaneros
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 39 | 1.15 |
| 15 |
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 37 | 1.12 |
| 16 |
Fortaleza CEIF
|
33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 33 | 1 |
| 17 |
Alianza Petrolera
|
33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 32 | 0.97 |
| 18 |
Boyacá Chicó
|
33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 29 | 0.88 |
| 19 |
Jaguares de Córdoba
|
33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 28 | 0.85 |
| 20 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
33 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 23 | 0.7 |
Odds
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