Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Thu, 04 Dec 2025 - 23:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín Prediction & Tips | Categoria Primera A 2025
Predictions
Get ready for an exciting matchup as Atlético Nacional hosts Independiente Medellín in round 5 of the Categoria Primera A.
The game kicks off on Thu, 04 December 2025 at 23:30 (UK Time), and we’ve prepared a comprehensive prediction to help you make informed betting decisions.
Are you looking for more predictions from this league? Make sure to check out our Categoria Primera A predictions or view all match predictions for today.
Quick Stats Summary
Check out the stats below to quickly understand the dynamics between both teams and their recent form.
Atlético Nacional: 23W / 16D / 11L – Avg. 2.68 goals scored per game
Independiente Medellín: 24W / 17D / 11L – Avg. 2.42 goals scored per game
Last 52 meetings: Atlético Nacional won 19, Independiente Medellín won 13, 20 draws
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín Betting Tips & Predictions
We’ve analyzed the form, stats, and head-to-head results to provide expert betting tips for this fixture.
Our tips are backed by data and updated regularly with the latest info.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
There is a significant gap in class and quality between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín, which is all too clear in their recent statistics and performances. But despite this disparity, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
Independiente Medellín has shown signs of promise in their past performances, enough to convince us that they can indeed take a point from their much stronger opponents in their upcoming matchup.
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
After analyzing Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín, we expect a high-scoring match, making over 2.5 goals the best betting option. This means the match needs at least three goals for the bet to win.
Both teams have been in strong form, so this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring result.
Team Form: Atlético Nacional
This season in the Categoria Primera A, Atlético Nacional has played 50 matches.
Here's a snapshot of their campaign so far:
Wins: 23
Draws: 16
Losses: 11
Avg Goals Scored: 2.68
Avg Goals Conceded: 1.02
Here's how Atlético Nacional performed over the last 5 matches:
Form Overview
02/06/2026 20:30
23/05/2026 19:00
16/05/2026 19:00
12/05/2026 19:20
09/05/2026 17:00
Team Form: Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín has also had a busy run in the {league_name}, with 52 matches played:
Wins: 24
Draws: 17
Losses: 11
Avg Goals Scored: 2.42
Avg Goals Conceded: 0.94
Here's how Independiente Medellín performed over the last 5 matches:
Form Overview
02/06/2026 20:30
23/05/2026 19:00
16/05/2026 19:00
12/05/2026 19:20
09/05/2026 17:00
Head-to-Head: Past Meetings
Here is how both teams compare in their last 52 meetings:
Atlético Nacional Wins: 19
Independiente Medellín Wins: 13
Draws: 20
Recent Head-to-Head Results
11/11/2024 16:10
21/04/2024 19:20
Match Info
Date: Thu, 04 December 2025 (Thursday)
Kick-off: 23:30 (UK Time)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Competition: Categoria Primera A
Stats
The statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.63
League: 2.29
Both Teams to Score
51%
League: 46%
Over 1.5+
69%
League: 66%
Over 2.5+
47%
League: 42%
Cards
5.67
League: 6.35
Corners
11.9
League: 9.13
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
D
D
|
1.7 |
| Home |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.12 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
W
|
1.28 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 64% | 28% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.84 | 2.52 |
| Scored | 1.66 | 1.96 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 1.02 | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 52% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 34% | 40% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 12% | 28% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.96 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.36 |
Away Team
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
L
D
W
|
1.71 |
| Home |
D
D
W
D
W
|
1.81 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
W
|
1.62 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.42 | 2.42 |
| Scored | 1.48 | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| Conceded | 0.94 | 0.81 | 1.08 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 46% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 15% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.69 | 1.81 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 0.98 | 1.28 |
Corners
9.76 / Match
+9% Corners / Match
Atlético Nacional received +9% more corners than Independiente Medellín in the Categoria Primera A
8.98 / Match
América de Cali
(4)
Independiente Medellín
(1)
Junior
(6)
Junior
(6)
Independiente Medellín
(8)
América de Cali
(10)
Junior
(2)(6)
Junior
(2)
Atlético Nacional
(3)
América de Cali
(5)
América de Cali
(4)
Atlético Nacional
(8)
Junior
(5)
América de Cali
Cards
3.04 / Match
+6% Cards / Match
Independiente Medellín received +6% more cards than Atlético Nacional in the Categoria Primera A
3.23 / Match
América de Cali
(2)
Independiente Medellín
(6)
Junior
(3)
Junior
(3)
Independiente Medellín
(3)
América de Cali
(2)
Junior
(2)(3)
Junior
(7)
Atlético Nacional
(4)
América de Cali
(4)
América de Cali
(1)
Atlético Nacional
(2)
Junior
(2)
América de Cali
Goals Scored
1.66 / Match
+12%
Atlético Nacional is +12% better in terms of goals scored
1.48 / Match
América de Cali
(2)
Independiente Medellín
(2)
Junior
(1)
Junior
(1)
Independiente Medellín
(0)
América de Cali
(1)
Junior
(1)(2)
Junior
(1)
Atlético Nacional
(1)
América de Cali
(1)
América de Cali
(0)
Atlético Nacional
(0)
Junior
(3)
América de Cali
Goals Conceded
1.02 / Match
+8%
Atlético Nacional condeded +8% more goals than Independiente Medellín
0.94 / Match
América de Cali
(3)
Independiente Medellín
(1)
Junior
(2)
Junior
(1)
Independiente Medellín
(0)
América de Cali
(0)
Junior
(2)(1)
Junior
(2)
Atlético Nacional
(1)
América de Cali
(2)
América de Cali
(0)
Atlético Nacional
(1)
Junior
(0)
América de Cali
Categoria Primera A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente Medellín
|
45 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 78 | 1.73 |
| 2 |
Atlético Nacional
|
43 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 74 | 45 | 29 | 74 | 1.72 |
| 3 |
Deportes Tolima
|
43 | 21 | 10 | 12 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 73 | 1.7 |
| 4 |
América de Cali
|
43 | 19 | 14 | 10 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 71 | 1.65 |
| 5 |
Santa Fe
|
42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Millonarios
|
43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 | 1.58 |
| 7 |
Junior
|
41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 66 | 1.61 |
| 8 |
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 63 | 1.7 |
| 9 |
Alianza Petrolera
|
38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 55 | 1.45 |
| 10 |
Once Caldas
|
42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 | 1.31 |
| 11 |
Fortaleza CEIF
|
37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 | 1.38 |
| 12 |
Rionegro Águilas
|
38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 48 | 1.26 |
| 13 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 | 1.21 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 | 1.18 |
| 15 |
Llaneros
|
37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 45 | 1.22 |
| 16 |
Deportivo Cali
|
38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 | 1.16 |
| 17 |
Boyacá Chicó
|
36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 35 | 0.97 |
| 18 |
Envigado
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 34 | 0.89 |
| 19 |
Unión Magdalena
|
36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 | 0.81 |
| 20 |
La Equidad
|
36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 20 | 0.56 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
