Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 - 00:05 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Stats - Categoria Primera A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima carries real history into this round of the Categoria Primera A.
The two sides meet on 09/10 (Friday) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, 00:05 (UK time).
Read the Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 1
Last updated on 06-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Atlético Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 58% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Categoria Primera A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Atlético Nacional Preview
Atlético Nacional reach this fixture 35 match into their Categoria Primera A. Here is where Atlético Nacional stand:
In this competition
25 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost
2.2 points per game
70 scored, at 2 a game
31 conceded, at 0.89 a game
Atlético Nacional, season-wide
25 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Alfredo Morelos, 14 goals
Most assists: Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, 7 assists
Recent results — Atlético Nacional
30/09/2026 21:00
24/09/2026 20:30
20/09/2026 21:15
16/09/2026 21:20
13/09/2026 17:05
Deportes Tolima: how they are travelling
Deportes Tolima come in 35 matches into their Categoria Primera A.
Here is what Club Deportes Tolima S.A. have produced:
In this competition
15 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost
1.6 points per game
46 scored, at 1.31 a game
34 conceded, at 0.97 a game
Club Deportes Tolima S.A., season-wide
19 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luis Fernando Sandoval Oyola, 8 goals
Most assists: Adrián Parra Osorio, 6 assists
Recent results — Club Deportes Tolima S.A.
03/10/2026 17:05
27/09/2026 19:05
20/09/2026 19:10
16/09/2026 19:15
11/09/2026 21:30
The head-to-head favours Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima have generally come out ahead of Atlético Nacional in their recent meetings.
From 43 match(es):
Deportes Tolima: 17 win(s)
Atlético Nacional: 16 win(s)
Drawn: 10
That trend is worth factoring into the Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima prediction.
Form comparison Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
L
W
W
|
2.2 |
| Home |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.75 |
| Away |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.74 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 88% | 58% |
| Goals | 2.89 | 3.06 | 2.74 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.56 | 1.53 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.5 | 1.21 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 50% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 6% | 42% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 2.01 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.34 |
Away Team
Deportes Tolima
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
D
D
|
1.6 |
| Home |
L
W
D
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
W
|
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 58% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.32 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Conceded | 0.97 | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% | 53% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 37% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 21% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 1.76 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.39 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Based on our research, Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima is shaping up to be a defensive match.
The stats suggest a careful approach from both teams, making under 2.5 goals a strong pick.
👉 Prediction: Atlético Nacional to Win the 1st Half
Backing Atlético Nacional to win the first half is our top betting recommendation.
They are a team that thrives on fast starts, applying early pressure with an aggressive attacking style. Given their strong home performances and ability to dominate from the start, we expect them to take control early against Deportes Tolima and lead at halftime.
Fixture information - Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
Match: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
Competition: Categoria Primera A
Date: Friday, 09/10/2026
Kick-off: 00:05 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot
More Categoria Primera A predictions
Explore the rest of our Categoria Primera A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Vinotinto y Oro that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.59
League: 2.56
Both Teams to Score
49%
League: 55%
Over 1.5+
73%
League: 75%
Over 2.5+
52%
League: 49%
Cards
5.88
League: 5.95
Corners
10.71
League: 9.01
Home Team
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
L
W
W
|
2.2 |
| Home |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.75 |
| Away |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.74 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 88% | 58% |
| Goals | 2.89 | 3.06 | 2.74 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.56 | 1.53 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.5 | 1.21 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 50% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 6% | 42% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 2.01 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.34 |
Away Team
Deportes Tolima
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
D
D
|
1.6 |
| Home |
L
W
D
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
W
|
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 58% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.32 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Conceded | 0.97 | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% | 53% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 37% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 21% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 1.76 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.39 |
Corners
9.57 / Match
+1% Corners / Match
Atlético Nacional received +1% more corners than Deportes Tolima in the Categoria Primera A
9.43 / Match
Junior
(7)
Millonarios
(3)
Llaneros
(9)
La Equidad
(9)
Rionegro Águilas
(8)
Alianza Petrolera
(6)
Deportivo Cali
(3)(10)
Boyacá Chicó
(0)
Fortaleza CEIF
(9)
América de Cali
(6)
Once Caldas
(5)
Santa Fe
(8)
Llaneros
(6)
Cúcuta Deportivo
Cards
2.94 / Match
+0% Cards / Match
Both Teams are equal in terms of cards
2.94 / Match
Junior
(5)
Millonarios
(3)
Llaneros
(2)
La Equidad
(1)
Rionegro Águilas
(2)
Alianza Petrolera
(1)
Deportivo Cali
(4)(2)
Boyacá Chicó
(6)
Fortaleza CEIF
(1)
América de Cali
(4)
Once Caldas
(2)
Santa Fe
(1)
Llaneros
(5)
Cúcuta Deportivo
Goals Scored
2 / Match
+53%
Atlético Nacional is +53% better in terms of goals scored
1.31 / Match
Junior
(3)
Millonarios
(1)
Llaneros
(0)
La Equidad
(3)
Rionegro Águilas
(2)
Alianza Petrolera
(5)
Deportivo Cali
(2)(0)
Boyacá Chicó
(2)
Fortaleza CEIF
(1)
América de Cali
(0)
Once Caldas
(0)
Santa Fe
(2)
Llaneros
(2)
Cúcuta Deportivo
Goals Conceded
0.89 / Match
+8%
Deportes Tolima condeded +8% more goals than Atlético Nacional
0.97 / Match
Junior
(1)
Millonarios
(1)
Llaneros
(2)
La Equidad
(2)
Rionegro Águilas
(0)
Alianza Petrolera
(1)
Deportivo Cali
(1)(0)
Boyacá Chicó
(2)
Fortaleza CEIF
(1)
América de Cali
(1)
Once Caldas
(1)
Santa Fe
(1)
Llaneros
(1)
Cúcuta Deportivo
Categoria Primera A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Nacional
|
35 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | 2.2 |
| 2 |
América de Cali
|
33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 61 | 1.85 |
| 3 |
Santa Fe
|
35 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 57 | 1.63 |
| 4 |
Deportes Tolima
|
35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 56 | 1.6 |
| 5 |
Junior
|
36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 53 | 1.47 |
| 6 |
Deportivo Cali
|
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 51 | 1.65 |
| 7 |
Millonarios
|
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 47 | 1.47 |
| 8 |
Once Caldas
|
33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 47 | 1.42 |
| 9 |
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 46 | 1.53 |
| 10 |
Independiente Medellín
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 | 1.48 |
| 11 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 43 | 1.3 |
| 12 |
La Equidad
|
34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 | 1.21 |
| 13 |
Rionegro Águilas
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 40 | 1.33 |
| 14 |
Llaneros
|
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 | 1.16 |
| 15 |
Fortaleza CEIF
|
31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 32 | 1.03 |
| 16 |
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 31 | 1 |
| 17 |
Boyacá Chicó
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 29 | 0.97 |
| 18 |
Alianza Petrolera
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 28 | 0.9 |
| 19 |
Jaguares de Córdoba
|
30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 25 | 0.83 |
| 20 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 | 0.6 |
Odds
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