Serie A
Atlético MG vs Grêmio
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 20:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Arena MRV
Atlético MG vs Grêmio Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Atlético MG vs Grêmio carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 16/08 (Sunday) at Arena MRV, 20:00 (UK time).
Read the Atlético MG vs Grêmio prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Atlético MG vs Grêmio
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Atlético MG vs Grêmio call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 14-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Atlético MG the side to beat, with roughly 52% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Atlético MG Preview
Atlético MG reach this fixture 21 match into their Serie A. Here is where Galo stand:
In this competition
8 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost
1.38 points per game
27 scored, at 1.29 a game
27 conceded, at 1.29 a game
Galo, season-wide
14 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva, 4 goals
Most assists: Tomás Esteban Cuello, 4 assists
Recent results — Atlético MG
12/08/2026 18:00
08/08/2026 17:30
04/08/2026 18:30
01/08/2026 18:30
26/07/2026 18:30
Grêmio: how they are travelling
Grêmio come in 21 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense have produced:
In this competition
6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost
1.19 points per game
24 scored, at 1.14 a game
27 conceded, at 1.29 a game
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense, season-wide
12 won, 10 drawn, 11 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Carlos Vinícius, 10 goals
Most assists: Francis Amuzu, 3 assists
Recent results — Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
08/08/2026 15:00
05/08/2026 18:30
02/08/2026 17:00
30/07/2026 18:00
26/07/2026 17:30
The head-to-head favours Grêmio
Grêmio have generally come out ahead of Galo in their recent meetings.
From 27 match(es):
Grêmio: 15 win(s)
Atlético MG: 8 win(s)
Drawn: 4
That trend is worth factoring into the Atlético MG vs Grêmio prediction.
Form comparison Atlético MG vs Grêmio
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
W
L
|
1.38 |
| Home |
D
W
D
L
W
|
1.78 |
| Away |
D
W
W
L
W
|
1.08 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 44% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 3 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.29 | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 67% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 22% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 11% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.41 | 1.55 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.6 | 1.56 | 1.63 |
Away Team
Grêmio
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.19 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
W
|
1.91 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
D
|
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 55% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.82 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.64 | 0.6 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 64% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 27% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 18% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.55 | 0.93 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Atlético MG will have the home advantage in this match, and with the quality of their players to the strength of their performances, they will have the upper hand. But even with all that said, our betting tip is to go for a draw in Atlético MG vs Grêmio.
We just see some flaws that Grêmio can exploit in order to hold the home side to a draw. And with odds of 3.55, the potential payout for a draw is well worth a shot.
👉 Prediction: Under 9.5 Corners
For Atlético MG vs Grêmio, we see under 9.5 corners as a relatively safe betting option. This market offers great value compared to the standard markets.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we don’t expect a high number of attacks leading to corners.
Fixture information - Atlético MG vs Grêmio
Match: Atlético MG vs Grêmio
Competition: Serie A
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 20:00 (UK time)
Venue: Arena MRV
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Galão da Massa vs Imortal that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.5
League: 2.57
Both Teams to Score
64%
League: 56%
Over 1.5+
79%
League: 77%
Over 2.5+
48%
League: 48%
Cards
3.88
League: 4.94
Corners
7.99
League: 10
Home Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
W
L
|
1.38 |
| Home |
D
W
D
L
W
|
1.78 |
| Away |
D
W
W
L
W
|
1.08 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 44% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 3 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.29 | 1.56 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 67% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 22% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 11% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.41 | 1.55 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.6 | 1.56 | 1.63 |
Away Team
Grêmio
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.19 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
W
|
1.91 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
D
|
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 55% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.82 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.64 | 0.6 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 64% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 27% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 18% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.55 | 0.93 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
Corners
10 / Match
+12% Corners / Match
Atlético MG received +12% more corners than Grêmio in the Serie A
8.96 / Match
Remo
(2)
Palmeiras
(5)
Bahia
(6)
Vasco da Gama
(4)
Corinthians
(0)
Mirassol
(5)
Botafogo
(6)(7)
São Paulo
(9)
Fluminense
(4)
Mirassol
(4)
Corinthians
(8)
Santos
(3)
Bahia
(0)
Flamengo
Cards
1.81 / Match
+45% Cards / Match
Grêmio received +45% more cards than Atlético MG in the Serie A
2.62 / Match
Remo
(2)
Palmeiras
(3)
Bahia
(0)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Corinthians
(2)
Mirassol
(0)
Botafogo
(0)(4)
São Paulo
(2)
Fluminense
(3)
Mirassol
(3)
Corinthians
(1)
Santos
(5)
Bahia
(1)
Flamengo
Goals Scored
1.29 / Match
+13%
Atlético MG is +13% better in terms of goals scored
1.14 / Match
Remo
(2)
Palmeiras
(2)
Bahia
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Corinthians
(0)
Mirassol
(3)
Botafogo
(1)(2)
São Paulo
(1)
Fluminense
(1)
Mirassol
(1)
Corinthians
(3)
Santos
(1)
Bahia
(0)
Flamengo
Goals Conceded
1.29 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
1.29 / Match
Remo
(2)
Palmeiras
(1)
Bahia
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(0)
Corinthians
(1)
Mirassol
(1)
Botafogo
(1)(1)
São Paulo
(1)
Fluminense
(2)
Mirassol
(3)
Corinthians
(2)
Santos
(1)
Bahia
(1)
Flamengo
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 48 | 2.18 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 42 | 2 |
| 3 |
Athletico-PR
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 40 | 1.82 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 35 | 1.59 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 7 |
Corinthians
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 | 1.45 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 | 1.48 |
| 9 |
Botafogo
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 30 | 1.43 |
| 10 |
Coritiba
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 30 | 1.36 |
| 11 |
Atlético MG
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 29 | 1.38 |
| 12 |
São Paulo
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | 1.24 |
| 13 |
Vitória
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 26 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Grêmio
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 | 1.19 |
| 15 |
Internacional
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | 1.05 |
| 16 |
Mirassol
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 | 1.1 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 18 |
Vasco da Gama
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 22 | 1 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 10 | 0.48 |
Odds
Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.
