Championship
Millwall vs Derby County
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 - 15:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: The Den
Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Stats - Championship 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Millwall vs Derby County carries real history into this round of the Championship.
The two sides meet on 31/10 (Saturday) at The Den, 15:00 (UK time).
Read the Millwall vs Derby County prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Millwall vs Derby County
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Millwall vs Derby County call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
BTTS - Yes
Last updated on 29-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Millwall the side to beat, with roughly 55% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Millwall Preview
Millwall reach this fixture 12 match into their Championship. Here is where The Lions stand:
In this competition
4 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost
1.25 points per game
19 scored, at 1.58 a game
20 conceded, at 1.67 a game
The Lions, season-wide
5 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Lyndon Dykes, 4 goals
Most assists: Camiel Neghli, 2 assists
Recent results — Millwall
24/10/2026 07:30
17/10/2026 07:30
13/10/2026 14:45
10/10/2026 10:00
19/09/2026 07:30
Derby County: how they are travelling
Derby County come in 12 matches into their Championship.
Here is what The Rams have produced:
In this competition
1 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost
0.58 points per game
10 scored, at 0.83 a game
21 conceded, at 1.75 a game
The Rams, season-wide
1 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Samuel Szmodics, 3 goals
Most assists: Bobby Clark, 2 assists
Recent results — The Rams
24/10/2026 07:30
17/10/2026 10:00
14/10/2026 14:45
10/10/2026 10:00
19/09/2026 10:00
The head-to-head favours Millwall
Recent meetings have tended to go Millwall's way against Derby County.
From 24 match(es):
Millwall: 10 win(s)
Derby County: 6 win(s)
Drawn: 8
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Millwall vs Derby County prediction.
Form comparison Millwall vs Derby County
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Millwall
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
L
W
D
|
1.25 |
| Home |
D
L
D
W
L
|
1.33 |
| Away |
L
W
D
L
L
|
1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 3.17 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.58 | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.52 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.2 | 1.54 |
Away Team
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
L
D
D
|
0.58 |
| Home |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.33 |
| Away |
D
L
D
L
W
|
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.58 | 2.33 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.46 | 1.59 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.68 | 1.61 | 1.76 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Derby County win or Draw
We have strong confidence in Derby County’s ability to leave The Den with at least a point, making them a smart pick on the Double Chance market.
Derby County has consistently put in solid away performances, while Millwall’s form has been far from convincing. An outright win might be a big ask, but the added security in case of a draw makes this bet interesting.
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Millwall and Derby County have shown a preference for defensive football this season, often avoiding risky attacks.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we see under 2.5 goals as the best value bet for this match.
Fixture information - Millwall vs Derby County
Match: Millwall vs Derby County
Competition: Championship
Date: Saturday, 31/10/2026
Kick-off: 15:00 (UK time)
Venue: The Den
More Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for The Dockers vs Derby County that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3
League: 2.88
Both Teams to Score
50%
League: 63%
Over 1.5+
92%
League: 76%
Over 2.5+
67%
League: 60%
Cards
5
League: 4
Corners
11.5
League: 10.51
Home Team
Millwall
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
L
W
D
|
1.25 |
| Home |
D
L
D
W
L
|
1.33 |
| Away |
L
W
D
L
L
|
1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 3.17 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.58 | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.52 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.2 | 1.54 |
Away Team
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
L
D
D
|
0.58 |
| Home |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.33 |
| Away |
D
L
D
L
W
|
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.58 | 2.33 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.46 | 1.59 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.68 | 1.61 | 1.76 |
Corners
11.83 / Match
+7% Corners / Match
Millwall received +7% more corners than Derby County in the Championship
11.09 / Match
Portsmouth
(5)
Lincoln City
(12)
Swansea City
(13)
Preston North End
(4)
West Ham
(3)
Middlesbrough
(1)
Blackburn Rovers
(2)(7)
Sheffield United
(6)
Stoke City
(3)
Queens Park Rangers
(1)
Wrexham
(6)
Burnley
(10)
Birmingham City
(11)
West Bromwich Albion
Cards
2.08 / Match
+16% Cards / Match
Derby County received +16% more cards than Millwall in the Championship
2.42 / Match
Portsmouth
(2)
Lincoln City
(5)
Swansea City
(3)
Preston North End
(2)
West Ham
(1)
Middlesbrough
(1)
Blackburn Rovers
(3)(3)
Sheffield United
(1)
Stoke City
(3)
Queens Park Rangers
(3)
Wrexham
(2)
Burnley
(1)
Birmingham City
(0)
West Bromwich Albion
Goals Scored
1.58 / Match
+90%
Millwall is +90% better in terms of goals scored
0.83 / Match
Portsmouth
(1)
Lincoln City
(2)
Swansea City
(0)
Preston North End
(1)
West Ham
(2)
Middlesbrough
(2)
Blackburn Rovers
(1)(1)
Sheffield United
(0)
Stoke City
(1)
Queens Park Rangers
(1)
Wrexham
(1)
Burnley
(1)
Birmingham City
(0)
West Bromwich Albion
Goals Conceded
1.67 / Match
+5%
Derby County condeded +5% more goals than Millwall
1.75 / Match
Portsmouth
(2)
Lincoln City
(2)
Swansea City
(1)
Preston North End
(0)
West Ham
(2)
Middlesbrough
(2)
Blackburn Rovers
(3)(1)
Sheffield United
(1)
Stoke City
(4)
Queens Park Rangers
(1)
Wrexham
(1)
Burnley
(2)
Birmingham City
(1)
West Bromwich Albion
Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 25 | 2.08 |
| 2 |
Southampton
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 2 |
| 3 |
Swansea City
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 | 1.92 |
| 4 |
West Ham
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 22 | 1.83 |
| 5 |
Wolverhampton
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 | 1.75 |
| 6 |
West Bromwich Albion
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 21 | 1.75 |
| 7 |
Birmingham City
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Queens Park Rangers
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 1.67 |
| 9 |
Stoke City
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 20 | 1.67 |
| 10 |
Sheffield United
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 1.46 |
| 11 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 | 1.5 |
| 12 |
Portsmouth
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 1.5 |
| 13 |
Millwall
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 | 1.25 |
| 14 |
Bristol City
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 | 1.25 |
| 15 |
Lincoln City
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 | 1.25 |
| 16 |
Cardiff City
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 1.17 |
| 17 |
Wrexham
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 | 1.08 |
| 18 |
Charlton Athletic
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 14 | 1.17 |
| 19 |
Bolton Wanderers
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | 1.17 |
| 20 |
Norwich City
|
12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 12 | 1 |
| 21 |
Watford
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | 0.92 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 8 | 0.67 |
| 23 |
Derby County
|
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 | 0.58 |
| 24 |
Preston North End
|
12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 | 0.42 |
Odds
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